Tracks two pairs of moving averages — the 111-day vs 350-day×2 (top signal) and the 150-day vs 471-day (bottom signal). The top crossover has called every Bitcoin cycle peak within days. The value shown is how close the 111DMA is to crossing the 350DMA×2.
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How to read the Pi Cycle indicator
The Pi Cycle indicator uses two pairs of moving averages whose periods are related by the mathematical constant π (pi ≈ 3.14159):
Top signal: 111-day MA (green line) vs 350-day MA × 2 (red line). When the 111DMA crosses above the 350DMA×2, it has called every Bitcoin cycle top in history — typically within 3 days of the actual peak. The value shown is the 111DMA as a percentage of the 350DMA×2.
Bottom signal: 150-day MA (blue dashed) vs 471-day MA (purple dashed). When the 150DMA crosses above the 471DMA from below, it has historically marked Bitcoin's cycle bottom and the start of a new bull market.
Below 55% — Strong Buy — The 111DMA is far below the 350DMA×2. Historically this has been early bull or bear market territory — ideal for accumulation.
55% – 75% — DCA Zone — The MAs are converging but no signal yet. Continue your regular DCA plan.
75% – 90% — Caution — The 111DMA is approaching the 350DMA×2. Late cycle territory — reduce new purchases.
Above 90% — Overheated — The crossover is imminent or has occurred. This has marked every cycle top. Consider taking profits.
The Pi Cycle is a timing tool, not a price target. It tells you when to be cautious, not where price will go. Combine it with the 200-Week MA and Puell Multiple for a fuller picture.